Monday, June 23, 2008

I DO advocate switching off electrical gadgets on standby


Well, well, it's been an interesting few days... Since The Register posted an article about my draft book, I've received a flood of emails, and been shocked to observe the cacophony of people on blogs and bulletin boards all debating 'what the Professor said', plopping me in one camp or another of their running battles.

I'd like to make one suggestion to everyone: if you want to discuss what I said in the book, please read the book!.

Some readers seem to think that whatever the journalist wrote, I said. For example his introduction said that most people 'have no need to worry about the energy they use to power their electronics; it’s insignificant compared to the other things'. That was the journalist, not me! This attitude to standby power has provoked the mob to get out their flame-throwers, saying 'MacKay should know that 8% of all domestic electricity goes to power junk on standby!' Sigh!

For the record, here is my domestic electricity consumption for the last few years.
I started paying attention to my electricity consumption in 2007. I started switching off all my stereos, answering machines, cable modem, wireless, and so forth, in mid-2007. I am happy to confirm that switching off these vampires has reduced my domestic electricity consumption from roughly 4 kWh/d to below 2 kWh/d. This is an energy saving well worth making; I encourage everyone to bye-bye their standby, and read their meters to see the difference it makes.

Monday, June 2, 2008

The last thing we should talk about

Wallace Broecker has been promoting the idea that `artificial trees are the way to solve global warming'. Pushed for details, he says that `brilliant physicist Klaus Lackner has invented a method to capture CO2 from thin air, and it doesn't require very much energy'. Broecker imagines that the world will carry on burning fossil fuels at much the same rate as it does now, and 60 million CO2-scrubbers (each the size of an up-ended shipping container) will vacuum up the CO2.

I think it's a very good idea to discuss capturing CO2 from thin air, but I feel there is a problem with the way this carbon scrubbing technology is being discussed. The problem is energy: how much energy does Lackner's CO2-capture method require. `Not very much'? Come on, we need numbers, not adjectives.

Here are some of the numbers required for a coherent conversation about carbon capture. Grabbing CO2 from thin air and concentrating it into liquid CO2 requires energy. The laws of physics say that the energy required must be at least 0.24 kWh per kg of CO2. What does Lackner's process require? In June 2007 Lackner told me that his lab was achieving 1.3 kWh per kg. Let's imagine that further improvements could get the energy cost down to 0.7 kWh per kg of CO2.

Now, let's assume that we wish to neutralize a typical European's CO2 output of 11 tonnes per year, which is 30 kg per day per person. The energy required, assuming an exchange rate of 0.7 kWh per kg of CO2, is 21 kWh per person per day. For comparison, British electricity consumption is roughly 17 kWh per person per day.

So as a ballpark figure, the Broecker/Lackner plan requires an amount of energy equal to current electricity production.

When I call carbon capture from thin air `the last thing we should talk about', I don't mean that we shouldn't talk about it. I definitely think we should talk about it, in detail, to help drive us towards more radical action now, to reduce the need to create these mega-vacuum-cleaners.

P.S. What about trees?. Trees are carbon capturing systems; they suck CO2 out of thin air, and they don't violate any laws of physics. They capture carbon using energy obtained from sunlight. The fossil fuels that we burn were originally created by this process. So, the suggestion is, how about trying to do the opposite of fossil fuel burning? How about creating wood and burying it in a hole in the ground, while, next door, humanity continues digging up fossil wood and setting fire to it?
From the minutes of the Select Committee on Science and Technology, the best plants in Europe capture carbon at a rate of roughly 10 tonnes of dry wood per hectare per year. Or in equivalent CO2 terms, that's about 15 tonnes of CO2 captured per hectare per year.
So the area of forest per person required to fix a European output of 11 tonnes of CO2 per year is 7500 square metres per person. (And then you'd have to find somewhere to permanently store 7.5 tons of wood per year!) Taking Britain as an example European country, this required area, 7500 square metres per person, is twice the area of Britain.

Friday, March 21, 2008

Cost-effective ways to reduce your carbon footprint

I'd like to highlight Sandy Polak's
page on how to be green
. It is the best page I've read on this topic. The main thing I would have amplified more than Sandyis heat pumps: I bought a 'green' condensing boiler a few years ago, and now regret having done so - I wish I had looked into air-source heat pumps. Condensing boilers are not green: they use fossil fuels! I reckon that, even if electricity is produced from gas-fired power stations, air-source heat pumps are a good thing, environment-wise; and if and when the grid is decarbonised, heat pumps will get ever greener. Heat pumps have to be the future for domestic heating without carbon.

Sunday, March 9, 2008

Eco bollocks awards

An emailer pointed me to a great blog that features well-written explanations of the authors' occasional Eco bollocks awards. Two model recipients are:
Ken Livingstone, whose claim that London will cut carbon by 60% is given a thorough inspection, and the Windsave WS1000 wind turbine. "Come on, it’s time to admit that the roof-mounted wind turbine industry is a complete fiasco. Good money is being thrown at an invention that doesn’t work. This is the Sinclair C5 of the Noughties."

Mark Brinkley's writing style in this blog is eloquent and fun -- "The world has gone mad. This seems like some insane game about seeing who has got the greenest willy."

Saturday, February 2, 2008

Stuff dominates!

I used to summarise British energy consumption by saying "transport, heating, electricity".
However I just read Too Good To Be True? The UK's Climate Change Record,
(pdf) by Dieter Helm, Robin Smale and Jonathan Phillips, who estimate (based on the value of British imports from other countries, and those countries' carbon intensities) that the net carbon footprint of British imports and exports is 10 tonnes of CO2e per person! - this doubles the British carbon footprint at a stroke and implies that our energy consumption is not dominated by transport, heating, and electricity after all. Stuff is king!

Monday, January 7, 2008

How much hydro does it take to "power Glasgow"?

Whenever a renewable power facility is described they always say how many 'homes' it will power. Today's news says The 100MW Glendoe Hydro Scheme will be able to power around 250,000 homes – equivalent to a city the size of Glasgow.

I think this 'homes' description is really misleading, because I bet people confuse 'powering all the homes in Glasgow' with 'powering all Glasgow's electricity' or even 'powering all Glasgow's energy'.

Let's do a simple calculation.

The average expected power from Glendoe is 180 GWh per year [source]. Now
if we take 180 GWh per year and share it between a Glasgow of people
(616,000 people), we get 0.8 kWh/d per person.

OK; what is the average electricity consumption per person (including all forms of electricity, not just domestic)? Answer: 16 kWh/d per person. So Glendoe actually provides 5% of the electricity consumption of Glasgow.

So if people get the impression from the press releases that Glendoe will power Glasgow, they have been misled by a factor of twenty!

This is a bigger factor than the normal factor by which people are usually misled. The statement
that Glendoe (180 GWh/y) would power 250,000 homes implies that each 'home' uses just 720 kWh per year. But the normal assumption in press releases about wind or tide is to assume the average home uses 4000 kWh/y or 4700 kWh/y. What's going on? The ratio between 720 kWh and 4000 kWh (18%) is suspiciously similar to the ratio between the average power production of Glendoe (180 GWh/y) and its capacity (100 MW is equivalent to 877 GWh/y). Methinks that someone at Scottish and Southern must have screwed up (or deliberately misled the public) by pretending that Glendoe will produce 100MW 100% of the the time, whereas in fact it will have an average load factor of 20%.

Thursday, December 27, 2007

Carbon Carousel Fraud

Letter to the editor
The Independent Sent 27 December 2007

Sir,

the article 'My carbon-free year' (Independent Thursday 27 December 2007) claims that Donnachadh McCarthy's home was `carbon-negative for energy' during 2007. This would be great if it were true, but the claimed carbon footprint of -141 kg was obtained only by using a carbon carousel fraud.

The home sometimes exported and sometimes imported green electricity. For every kWh of electricity exported, the net footprint was credited with -430g of CO2. Fair enough. But when the home imported a kWh of electricity, the effect on the footprint was declared to be zero. This is a fraud, since under this accounting system a building that imports 1 kWh on Monday and exports 1 kWh on Tuesday (and thus makes no net contribution) would be judged to have removed 430g of CO2 from the atmosphere! When this error is corrected, we find that Donnachadh McCarthy's impressive home is not carbon negative. It has a CO2 footprint of +24 kg.

It is a terrible struggle to make a British home carbon neutral!

yours
David MacKay

PS
Here are the details of the correct spreadsheet
``How the eco-savings add up''




CONSUMED CO2 footprint

Gas usage
609 kWh 116 kg

NET export
of green electricity
(598-384)

114 kWh
-92 kg

Solar electricity
produced and
used on-site

420 kWh
zero

(Other items in the table all as before, zero.)

Net footprint
+24 kg


PPS - They didn't publish my letter.

Tuesday, October 30, 2007

Life-cycle analysis database

Yippee! I've been trying to find a free database of LCA information (to answer questions like 'what's the embodied energy or embedded energy of a fluorescent light bulb?') and now I think I have found one - http://lca.jrc.ec.europa.eu/lcainfohub/introduction.vm

Update...


Sadly the EU database didn't seem very user friendly. I've now found the
The University of Bath database
which looks small but useful.

Climate change in our lifetime

My first blog. (I've been writing webpages for ages, but I thought a blog might be useful for my soon to be finished book.)

1998 was a record hot year (the hottest in the last few decades). Today I heard in a talk by Vicky Pope that the climate models of the Hadley Centre predict that from 2010 onwards, every year has a 50% chance of being hotter than 1998.

Vicky Pope also showed a graph by Eleanor Burke showing predicted droughts. The graph showed the percentage of the world predicted to have "severe drought". In the past this percentage has bobbled around 2 or 3%. By 2060 it was projected that the percentage would be up to 20%.

I hadn't seen climate change expressed by climate scientists in such strikingly 'soon' terms.